India brings hope to garment exporters

India brings hope to garment exporters

Garment shipments to India, a country with a $50 billion apparel market, more than doubled in the first 11 months of the fiscal year — in a promising development for Bangladesh’s manufacturers.

Between July last year and May this year, apparel items worth $253.07 million were shipped to the neighbouring country, in contrast to $117.21 million a year earlier, according to data from the Export Promotion Bureau.

The reason for the exponential rise is bulk purchase by Western brands with operations in India and Indian clothing chains, which are finding Bangladesh’s garment items to be more competitively priced for India’s bulging middle-class demographic. Like in previous years, woven garment shipments outnumbered knitwear as the demand for formal shirts is high in the country packed with office-going executives. Between July and May, $187.37 million worth of woven garment items were shipped to India and $65.70 million worth of knitwear products, EPB data showed.

“Garment export from our factory to India is increasing every year. But the receipts are still very low,” said Mohammad Hasan, executive director of Babylon Group, a leading garment exporter. Apart from Indian retailers like Tata, Reliance and Arvind, Western brands like H&M, Zara and Mango are sourcing garment items from Bangladesh in bulk quantity.

“We see India as an emerging market for us,” Hasan said.

In the next few years, garment exports to India might cross the $1 billion-mark, said Siddiqur Rahman, president of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association. Were garment afforded the privilege of duty-free access to India, the receipts would have hit $1 billion by now. Bangladeshi garment exporters face 12.5 percent countervailing duty for shipment to India, although India announced duty-free facility on all Bangladeshi products except some alcoholic and beverage items in 2012.

Overall, exports to India increased 24.67 percent year-on-year to $792.88 million in the July-May period.

Imports dominate kids’ dresses

Imports dominate kids’ dresses

Parents along with their children are hitting the capital’s shopping centres as they look to purchase their desired outfit for Eid-ul-Fitr, the biggest Muslim festival. One such unit was Sabina Akter, who came to Mum & Little Ones on the Satmasjid Road in Dhanmondi with her husband and four-year-old daughter. “My daughter likes fancy dresses and shoes,” said Akter. After combing through a bunch of dresses brought in from Thailand and China, the family picked a frock with cartoon characters.

After all, they did not have much choice but to go for an imported product as 80 percent of the market for childrenswear is dominated by foreign ones. “Customers prefer clothes from India, China and Thailand,” said Ashfak A Hai, managing director of Mum & Little Ones, which also sells toys. Local childrenswear are so out-of-date that they do not have any takers, he said. But a few local brands such as Aarong and Infinity are also drawing in crowds thanks to their tasteful designs.

At noon yesterday, hundreds of shoppers could be found at the Aarong store in the capital’s Bashundhara City, a shopping mall. One of them was Zakaria Shahin, a private sector employee, who came to the store to buy shoes for his seven-year-old son. “I always shop at Aarong as its designs and models represent our Bengali culture,” he said. Speaking to The Daily Star at the same outlet, Md Abdullah, a banker, said the quality of the products at Aarong is good. “But the price has skyrocketed.” The lower-income people, however, rely on the makeshift shops set up on footpaths to dress their children on Eid. The shops sell mostly locally-produced clothes, according to market insiders.

Shops at New Market and Polwel Super Market also cater to shoppers belonging to the low and lower-middle income groups, said Safiul Azam, a shop owner in the capital’s Uttara.

Two dozen China-funded projects: Progress belies expectations

Two dozen China-funded projects: Progress belies expectations

Due to the bureaucratic tangles, more than two dozen China-funded projects are not progressing at a satisfactory pace. So far, the disbursement has been made against only two projects. The projects include the construction of a tunnel under the Karanafuli River worth US$705.80 million and the development of ICT network (Phase -2) worth $156.56 million.

Officials blamed the procedural complications and the long process of negotiations for the delay in loan disbursement.

“We are trying our best to expedite the China-funded projects. These were signed during the visit of President Xi Jinping to Bangladesh,” Chinese ambassador to Bangladesh Zhang Zuo told the FE recently.

“My main priority is to speed up the entire exercise for implementation of these projects,” he said.

A senior official at the Economic Relations Division told the FE on Wednesday that both sides were sincere about implementing these projects quickly. But there were some procedural complexities.

For example, for loan approval, the division needs the greenlight from both the Chinese Commerce Ministry and the EXIM Bank. Previously, the approval from only EXIM Bank was required. The loan disbursement process takes additional two or three months due to the new system.

Recently, a loan agreement was signed for the $3.1 billion Padma Bridge rail link project.

Out of the remaining 24 projects, necessary preparations for signing loan agreements have been completed for six.

These include $ 1.6 billion power system network strengthening project, $1.3 billion power grid strengthening project, $1.9 billion Dhaka-Ashulia elevated expressway project, $ 231 million modernisation of telecom network project, $280 million China Economic Zone project and the $125 million project for establishing six TV stations.

The progress of 10 other projects is slow and many of them are at the negotiation stage.

Among them are $500 million single point mooring project, $467 million replacement of five million electro meter project, $ 256.41 million extension of underground mining project, $521 million pre-payment metering project, $200 million project for setting up inland container terminal at Dhirasram. The other projects include $230 million for the replacement of overloaded transformer, $150 million water supply and solid waste management, and $ 500 million project for modernisation of rural and urban lives through ICT. The remaining eight projects are at an advanced stage and the loan agreements for those will be signed soon, ERD officials said.

Talking about the situation, an official of the economic wing of the Chinese embassy said that they were taking all-out efforts to ensure the projects would be implemented as soon as possible. “Yes, there are procedural complexities on both sides but we are working to resolve this,” Li Gunagjun, the economic and commercial counsellor of the embassy, said.

Experts call for banking reform commission

Experts call for banking reform commission

Experts yesterday demanded that the upcoming budget contain a clear indication that a “banking reform commission” would be immediately formed to address the prevailing vulnerable situation in the banking sector.

“The banking sector is passing a severe crisis moment due to different scams,” said Ahsan H Mansur, executive director of Policy Research Institute (PRI), while moderating a dialogue, “National Budget 2018-19: Thoughts at the last moment”. “So a banking commission is required to save the sector as it is an important engine for the economy,” he told the event organised by the PRI at Golden Tulip The GrandMark Dhaka in the capital’s Banani.

Echoing Mansur, Md Mozibur Rahman, former chairman of Tariff Commission, said, “If the sector continues to go through this situation for long, it would lead to the capsizing of the economy.” Stating that inefficiency is the main obstacle to the budget’s implementation, he demanded a special allocation for efficiency improvement, reasoning that training was required to develop highly skilled manpower.

Ghulam Rahman, president of the Consumers Association of Bangladesh (CAB), said local markets increased prices in response to that in the global market but the effect was not immediate when prices went down.

He lauded government efforts in the last couple of years to bring a stop to a tendency to hike prices of essential commodities right after the budget was announced.

Mustafizur Rahman, distinguished fellow of the Centre for Policy Dialogue, expressed unhappiness over the implementation rate of fast-track projects, saying they were slow just like the annual development programme.

The government allocated an estimated Tk 260,000 crore for 10 fast-track projects and though allocation for those increased in phases, implementation efficiency did not, he said.

He suggested improving institutional capacity to implement the mega projects while forming a public expenditure commission to decide on the type of programmes to undertake.

“The government should review the incentive structure in terms of strategic industrial and trade policy,” he said.

Rahman also suggested allocating a particular amount in the budget giving priority to a special economic zone so that it becomes exemplary for others.

Suhel A Chowdhury, a former commerce secretary, said there was a lack of efficient manpower in the government and efficient officials were not in the proper places.

He also blamed inefficiency of the state machinery for the budget not being implemented properly.

Asif Ibrahim, vice chairman, Newage Group of Industries Bangladesh, said the private sector was worried over the increase in bank interest rate and this was a bad sign for the economy and investment.

The one-stop service of Bangladesh Investment Development Authority was also not efficient and this might be a bar to achieving the investment target, added Ibrahim, also a former president of the Dhaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry. He said the private sector was interested in paying taxes but were put off by the tedious payment procedures.

Muhammad Abdul Mazid, former chairman of the National Board of Revenue (NBR), said there should be coordination between the tariff and customs policies so that businesspeople face no confusion and problems.

Zaidi Sattar, chairman of PRI, stressed the need for export oriented growth. He said export-GDP ratio was declining and export growth has come down to a single digit. “We need 12 percent export growth to reach the 8 percent GDP growth target by 2021,” he said. Siddiqur Rahman Chowdhury, a former finance secretary, said there were a number of commitments in the last budget but there was no implementation afterwards. He said budgets should be big and ambitious but backed up with credibility.

Shamsul Alam, energy adviser of CAB; Faisal Ahmed, chief economist of Bangladesh Bank; Ali Ahmed, chief executive officer of Bangladesh Foreign Trade Institute; Nazneen Ahmed, senior research fellow of Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies, and Sadiq Ahmed, vice chairman of PRI, addressed the programme.

12 banks face provision deficit of Tk 10,596cr

12 banks face provision deficit of Tk 10,596cr

Twelve banks faced a provisioning shortfall of Tk 10,596 crore in the first three months of the year, a development that will compel banks to hike their interest rate on lending to ensure net profits. The banks are: Sonali, Agrani, Rupali, BASIC, AB, Bangladesh Commerce, IFIC, Mutual Trust, National, Premier, Social Islami and Standard, according to data from the Bangladesh Bank. Some of the banks had faced provisioning shortfall for long as they continued to disburse loans flouting rules and regulations, said BB officials.

Mutual Trust and Social Islami faced provision shortfall for the first time in recent years.

Banks have to keep the required provisioning from their operating profit, so they will raise their lending rate in the coming days to ensure they declare profits, said Khondker Ibrahim Khaled, a former deputy governor of the BB.

“The banks will pass on the burden to borrowers.”

The rising trend of default loans is largely responsible for the provisioning shortfall.

At the end of March, the total default loans in the banking sector stood at Tk 88,589 crore, up from Tk 74,303 crore at the end of December 2017, according to data from the BB.

As per the BB regulations, banks have to keep 0.50 percent to 5 percent provisioning against general category loans, 20 percent against classified loans of sub-standard category, 50 percent against classified loans of doubtful category and 100 percent against classified loans of bad or loss category.

The capital base of the 12 banks would erode significantly if they kept provisioning as per the central bank rules, said a BB official. The overall shortfall in provisioning against general and defaulted loans in the banking sector increased 17.59 percent to Tk 7,958 crore at the end of March from the previous quarter. “This indicates that the banks are not in the pink of health,” Khaled said, adding that the interest hike on lending will be checked if the banks can avoid bad loans. The banks that failed to keep the required provisioning would have to struggle to maintain profitability in the months to come, said Syed Mahbubur Rahman, chairman of the Association of Bankers, Bangladesh, a forum of the CEOs of private banks.

Like Khaled, he too said the borrowers would have to count the additional interest rate as the banks will be forced to hike the rate for ensuring profit.

Rahman, also the managing director of Dhaka Bank, hopes the banks would be able to turn around the situation.

BB may relax foreign loan cap for private sector

BB may relax foreign loan cap for private sector

The central bank mulls over relaxing the existing interest cap on private sector foreign loans to help businesses enjoy uninterrupted external borrowing, said a top Bangladesh Bank official yesterday. At present, businesses are not allowed to take foreign loans at interest rate higher than 5 percent including the London Interbank Offered rate (LIBOR). Libor has been on the rise since February 7, reaching 2.31 percent, the highest since 2008, which is making it difficult for local businesses to maintain the interest rate cap.

Following requests from businesses and bankers, the central bank has decided to look into the matter, said BB Deputy Governor Ahmed Jamal at a roundtable on external private commercial borrowing by Bangladeshi firms.

The Policy Research Institute organised the roundtable at its office in the capital.

“The country’s image will diminish if any borrower fails to repay the loan,” Jamal said.  The Bangladesh Investment Development Authority, the sole authority to give approval to term loans for the private sector, has recently proposed to the central bank to allow businesses to enjoy three-month foreign loans without taking any prior approval. The central bank is scrutinising the issue positively as part of its ongoing programme to further liberalise the country’s foreign exchange regime, the BB deputy governor said. The authority concerned should increase the cap to LIBOR plus 4.50 percent, said Ahsan H Mansur, executive director of the PRI.

The 5 percent all inclusive cap on foreign lending may have also contributed to the decline in disbursement of foreign loans in recent times, he said. Three factors — complexity in the application process, involvement of uncoordinated agencies and applications of arbitrary all-in cost cap — appear to be discouraging entrepreneurs from making use of foreign borrowing. On average, the private sector utilised less than 50 percent of the approved limit on foreign borrowing because of the complexities, Mansur said. Emphasis should be put in giving loan approvals in due time as the country will need to increase private sector investment by at least 5 percentage points from the existing 22-23 percent of GDP, Mansur added. The authority concerned should take prudential regulations for private sector foreign loans considering its sensitiveness, said Naser Ezaz Bijoy, chief executive officer of Standard Chartered Bangladesh.

The Asian economic crisis of 1996 emerged because of excess borrowing by businesses from external sources, he said. The country’s entrepreneurs have been facing infrastructural and energy crisis for a long time, which have discouraged them to set up new plants and expand existing ones, said MA Jabbar, managing director of DBL Group.

“We need more fund and the authority concerned should take measures to ensure foreign loans without any complexities,” he added. The country’s banking sector is now facing an acute liquidity crunch, so foreign loans will help in meeting the growing credit demand by the private sector, said Uzma Chowdhury, corporate finance director of Pran-RFL Group. Sadiq Ahmed, vice-chairman of the PRI, moderated the dialogue, while Zaidi Sattar, chairman of the PRI; Faisal Ahmed, chief economist of the central bank; Masrur Reaz, senior economist of the International Finance Corporation; and Arif Dowla, managing director of ACI Ltd, also spoke.

Default loans soar 19.23pc

Default loans soar 19.23pc

Some Tk 14,286 crore of loans defaulted in the first three months of the year, punching banks further into a corner in their uphill fight against non-performing loans. At the end of March, the total default loans in the banking sector stood at Tk 88,589 crore, up from Tk 74,303 crore at the end of December 2017. Of the total default loans, the six state banks alone accounted for Tk 43,685 crore, the private banks Tk 37,289 crore, the two specialised banks Tk 5,426 crore and nine foreign banks Tk 2,188 crore.

The 40 private banks though saw their default loans escalate the most in the first quarter of 2018 from the previous quarter: 26.85 percent. The state banks’ default loans increased 17.03 percent, the Bangladesh Krishi Bank and Rajshahi Krishi Unnayan Bank saw their default loans remain unchanged. Foreign banks’ default loans crept up 1.57 percent in the first three months of the year.

The nonperforming loans accounted for 10.78 percent of the total outstanding loans in the banking sector, up from 9.31 percent in December last year, according to central bank statistics. “Some unscrupulous persons just looted the public funds in the name of loans from banks over the past five-six years,” said Khondker Ibrahim Khaled, a former Bangladesh Bank deputy governor. The central bank should form a loan inquiry committee without further delays to detect the unscrupulous persons and corrupt banks’ officials involved in the financial scams.

Some banks massively rescheduled their default loans in the last three to four years and those became nonperforming again, he said, while urging the BB not to reschedule the loans any further. “The real picture of the banking sector will be clearly shown if the banks did not reschedule the loan.” The central bank should instruct the banks to recover the loans by December of this year; otherwise, punitive measures would be taken against them, he added.

High corporate tax a bane for businesses

High corporate tax a bane for businesses

Bangladesh has one of the highest corporate tax rates and complex tax systems in the world that act as a disincentive to investment, analysts said. The tax administrator collects corporate tax in eight categories. Telecom operators, banks and financial institutions and cigarette manufacturers—the main sources of taxes—pay the tax at the highest rates of 40 percent to 45 percent. The lowest rate is enjoyed by the jute millers at 10 percent and apparel makers at 12 percent. In general, the corporate income tax rate for non-listed companies is 35 percent and 25 percent for listed companies.

Bangladesh’s corporate rate is high and complex as there are a number of slabs, said Zahid Hussain, lead economist of the World Bank’s Dhaka office. “High tax rate encourages evasion and corruption. It also reduces profit and thus investible fund.”

The rate of corporate tax in Bangladesh is higher than the Asian average of 21 percent and the global average of 24 percent, according to KPMG, a global network of professional firms providing audit, tax and advisory services. Bangladesh’s tax rates for companies are also higher than that of Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia, China, Indonesia, Sri Lanka and Pakistan. Vietnam and Thailand charge 20 percent tax for companies. It is 24 percent in Malaysia and 25 percent in Indonesia.

Pakistan and Sri Lanka’s rate is less than Bangladesh’s rate. India’s basic corporate tax rate stands at 30 percent, but the effective rate goes up to 35 percent for domestic companies after adding surcharge and education fees, according to KPMG.

Uzbekistan, Montenegro and Hungary have single-digit corporate tax rate of 7.5 percent. Lower corporate tax rate is one of the main drivers of economic development for Ireland, said Ahsan H Mansur, executive director of the Policy Research Institute.

“We have to be at par with similar countries. Compliance will rise and tendency to hide incomes will reduce if the tax rate is reduced,” he said, calling for a cut in corporate tax by 2 percentage points annually in the next five years. He said corporate tax rate usually hovers between 20 percent to 25 percent in developed and emerging nations. From that perspective, 35-37 percent rate is quite high, he said.

The former economist of the International Monetary Fund said the government should unveil a plan on corporate tax measures so that existing and prospective investors can predict. Business chambers have been demanding a cut in the corporate tax for the last several years. Some tax officials, however, said although some sectors face more than 40 percent tax, the effective rate, in general, is lower if exemptions, discounts and special benefits are taken into account.

For example, the corporate tax rate for power, software and IT firms is zero.

Tax break is offered to income from investment in the export processing zones. Firms also enjoy tax break in the first three years of operations in economic zones and hi-tech parks. So, it is tough to impose a sudden cut in the corporate tax rate because of its impact on revenue collection, said taxmen. The National Board of Revenue cut tax for companies twice over the past decade. It, however, has not carried out any study on the impact of the cut on investment and compliance, officials said.

Yesterday, the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD) said any reduction of corporate tax is effective in attracting private investment only when the overall investment climate is conducive for businesses. It said a number of studies on the nexus between corporate tax and private investment found that the reduction of corporate tax rate, in general, fosters private investment.

“However, for many developing countries fiscal incentives often don’t effectively counterbalance the unattractive investment climate conditions such as poor infrastructure, macroeconomic instability, weak governance and markets,” it said. The think-tank said the corporate tax rate is an important source of revenue for Bangladesh, contributing about two-thirds of the income tax collection. The CPD said higher tax rates are common for sectors where competition is regulated. In India, the corporate tax for foreign companies is 40 percent, which is 30 percent for domestic companies.

Towfiqul Islam Khan, research fellow of the CPD, said 2018-19 may not be the best year to reduce the rate.

“It will be difficult for the government to compensate the revenue loss from the corporate tax cut. So, there needs to be an in-depth impact study and such decision may be taken as part of broader revenue mobilisation reform package,” he said. Even if the corporate tax rate cut is inevitable for the government, it should be done in small instalments and in a staggered manner in order to give time to the NBR to adjust, Khan said. The corporate tax is declining globally,  said Mamun Rashid, managing partner of PricewaterhouseCoopers Bangladesh.

The US and the UK are reducing tax to attract conglomerates, he said.

He said high tax along with multilayer taxation hinders the growth of large companies and acts as a disincentive for investment. “Entrepreneurs should be given more money in hands so that they can reinvest. Policymakers should encourage conglomerates because they can create jobs, which are an important tool to reduce poverty.”

SDGs must be funded with local resources: experts

SDGs must be funded with local resources: experts

The government should mobilise funds from domestic sources in an innovative way and improve institutional efficiency to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals, experts said yesterday.  Foreign assistance is not increasing in line with the demands of the SDGs, said said Mustafizur Rahman, a distinguished fellow of the Centre for Policy Dialogue. “So, the government would have to mobilise domestic resources and ensure good value of money. And to ensure good value for money we need to enhance the institutional capacity and efficiency.”

Rahman’s comments came at a dialogue styled “Financing for SDGs implementation in Asia-Pacific Region” organised by the CPD in cooperation with the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (UNESCAP) at the Brac Centre Inn in Dhaka.

With its present level of efficiency, Bangladesh can collect revenue amounting to only 10 percent of its GDP.

“If the tax to GDP ratio reaches 16 percent, Bangladesh will be able to earn hundreds of thousands of crores of taka from domestic sources, which could be used to finance SDGs.”

Bangladesh should improve its export capacity and diversify products to mobilise additional resources from external sources, he added. Trillions of dollars will be required to finance the SDGs, said Abul Kalam Azad, principal coordinator of SDGs at the Prime Minister’s Office.

“Who will give this additional fund? We need to manage this with our own resources as well as adopt innovative ways to bring money from external sources.” Private sector financing through public-private partnership could be a good source of SDG financing, he added.

Full financing for implementing the SDGs will have to come from the country’s own pocket, said Debapriya Bhattacharya, another distinguished fellow of the CPD. In the last 10 years at least $75 billion siphoned out of the country. “These funds could help construct three Padma bridges,” he added. Bangladesh has the lowest tax to GDP ratio among the Asian countries, said AB Mirza Azizul Islam, a former adviser to a caretaker government.

Subsequently, he called for enhancing institutional efficiency to boost revenue and tax-to-GDP ratio, much needed for SDG financing. Islam went on to criticise the tax structure. “Tax collection is dependent on indirect tax — it is one of the major problems in the tax system.  It should be reshuffled to increase the tax to GDP ratio.” He advised the government to issue bonds in foreign markets to fetch funds from external resources to fill the SDG financing gap.

Out of the total financing needed to implement the SDGs, the government would get only 15 percent in foreign assistance, said Kazi Shofiqul Azam, secretary of the Economic Relations Division. The rest would have to come from the country’s own resources, he added. The government will have to find traditional and non-traditional sources to mobilise domestic resources, said Fahmida Khatun, executive director of the CPD. Economic growth in the Asia-Pacific region continues to improve on the back of firmer global demand and stable inflation, said Vatchrin Sirimaneetham, economic affairs officer of the UNESCAP. Financial risks and protectionist trade measures weigh on the near-term macroeconomic outlook, while medium-term challenges, such as lifting the region’s potential for economic growth and reducing poverty on a sustained basis, persist, he added. Nihad Kabir, president of the Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce and Industry Dhaka, also spoke.

35 NRBs get CIP status

35 NRBs get CIP status

Expatriate welfare and overseas employment ministry on Tuesday awarded 35 Non Resident Bangladeshis as Commercially Important Persons, CIP, status for their significant contribution to the country’s economy in 2016.
Of the CIPs, some 29 NRBs get the CIP status for sending back remittance to country through legal channels and six others for importing Bangladeshi products to the foreign markets. According to an official gazette notification, Mossammat Jasmin Akter topped the list for sending remittances to the country from UAE. The other NRBs are Mohammed Mahatabur Rahman, Mohammed Ismail, Mohammed Jashim Uddin, Mohammed Hashim, Nurul Alam, AHM Tajul Islam, Rakhal Kumar Gope, Abul Kalam, Abdul Gani Chowdhury, Mohammed Ali, Morshedul Islam, Mohd Farid Ahmed, Mohd Mosassek Chowdhury, Mohammed Ashrafur Rahman, Mohammed Shamsul Azim, Mohammed Yasin Chowdhury, Hafez Mohammed Idris, Abdul Jalil, Mohammed Abdul Rohim, Mohammed Adnan Imam, Mohammed Mohsin Alam, Abdul Aziz Khan, Shahid Hossain Jahangir, Mahmudur Rahman Khan, and Kazi Sarwar Hasib.
The six other NRBs who got CIP for importing Bangladeshi products to the foreign markets are Mohammed Salim, Nurul Alam, Ah Badar Uddin Chowdhury, Khan Md Firozur Alam, Abul Kashem and Mohd Abu Taleb.
EWOE minister Nurul Islam as chief guest handed over the crest to the CIPs. State minister for Foreign Affairs Shahriar Alam was present as special guest with EWOE ministry’s secretary in the chair. The CIP status holders are entitled to enjoy for one year different state privileges from issuance of the status. They will get privilege in getting permission to enter into Bangladesh secretariat, priority in reserving seats in Biman, train, bus and other modes of transports for business related travels in Bangladesh, using the VIP lounge 2 and special handling facility at the airport, priority in getting cabin facility at government hospitals and invitation to different national programmes organised by Bangladesh missions abroad, according to the policy.